Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 1359.151923 1553.892981 1772.909921 2038.674305 2354.033143 2718.247293 3173.545055
2025-07-20 1070.947590 1323.943468 1637.056642 2058.024955 2616.816075 3344.021594 4380.291051
2025-07-27 929.417215 1207.525074 1573.638133 2100.558111 2855.816764 3925.420948 5603.866669
2025-08-03 826.761361 1117.179306 1518.821913 2129.901118 3063.743673 4485.492804 6914.615142
2025-08-10 761.475358 1064.692750 1502.568433 2202.651771 3336.768987 5183.749600 8607.136114
2025-08-17 699.229440 1006.300083 1466.392526 2234.278444 3543.841804 5809.745233 10337.496848
2025-08-24 643.427416 949.574170 1423.355347 2244.865677 3712.435593 6397.255128 12155.924114
2025-08-31 596.436187 900.415237 1384.848896 2254.820412 3877.650045 7007.565448 14198.503211
2025-09-07 561.688153 866.501212 1366.133673 2294.479124 4101.474638 7775.743862 16832.536989
2025-09-14 512.506292 803.804129 1291.717431 2222.551193 4095.932059 8069.048480 18439.410774
2025-09-21 470.608455 749.383930 1225.729935 2157.107826 4091.379655 8361.525724 20143.578543
2025-09-28 432.395792 697.930219 1159.834923 2083.249238 4056.684170 8577.589084 21719.393367
2025-10-05 418.620636 688.941722 1171.426918 2167.584329 4387.889381 9762.744711 26677.733240
2025-10-12 397.840469 665.773524 1154.757304 2193.169339 4595.353261 10706.178180 31397.401214
2025-10-19 381.520564 649.068416 1148.234499 2238.551375 4857.539157 11868.369521 37509.195011
2025-10-26 365.109587 630.659243 1136.322639 2270.302993 5092.864125 13027.928435 44337.512935
2025-11-02 354.923929 623.055482 1144.905154 2348.893176 5464.367630 14711.710469 54491.660374
2025-11-09 341.087802 607.168655 1134.910806 2383.075569 5725.608036 16142.739048 64671.712616
2025-11-16 326.274381 588.130969 1116.445563 2394.519719 5926.955443 17448.975974 75381.575563
2025-11-23 312.580090 570.241397 1098.682584 2405.281078 6129.557932 18837.441585 87874.594065
2025-11-30 302.513576 558.909427 1093.973178 2448.160882 6438.553126 20743.338277 105519.718872
2025-12-07 283.875473 528.590074 1044.801854 2370.399959 6359.001978 21113.577728 113651.961831
2025-12-14 267.187445 501.275178 1000.226380 2299.684791 6290.179628 21515.890993 122595.454368